Equal chance of winning…Man City up 14%, Arsenal down 14%

The joys and sorrows were mixed not only in winning and losing, but also in the odds of winning.안전놀이터

Man City won 3-1 against Arsenal in the 12th round of the English Premier League (EPL) in the 2022-23 season held at Emirates Stadium in London, England at 4:30 am (Korean time) on the 16th. With this victory, the points of the two teams were tied at 51 points, and Manchester City, ahead of the goal difference, took first place in the league.

Manchester City used a 3-2-4-1 formation. Haaland, Grealish, Gundogan, The Bruiner, Mahrez, Silva, Rodri, Ake, Dias, Walker, and Ederson scrambled.

Arsenal faced off with a 4-3-3 formation. Martinelli, Nketia, Saka, Xaka, Jorginho, Odegaard, Zinchenko, Magalyangis, Saliba, Tomiyas and Ramsdale started.

The match was very fierce. Cracks arose from small mistakes. In the 24th minute of the first half, Tomiyas’ pass to the goalkeeper did not have enough power. De Bruyne intercepted it and fired the shot straight ahead, scoring the opening goal.

Arsenal did not back down either. Arsenal, who continued to aim for space behind Man City, won a penalty kick (PK). In the 42nd minute of the first half, as Nketia collided with Ederson, the referee declared a PK. Saka came out as the kicker and kicked into the left corner to balance the score. The first half ended 1-1.

Both teams fought fiercely in the second half. Manchester City take the lead again. Manchester City, who succeeded in pressing in the 27th minute of the second half, quickly developed an attack. After catching Silva’s pass, Haaland passed the pass, and Grealish showed a neat finish, giving Man City a head start. It even exploded to the cuneiform bone. In the 37th minute of the second half, De Bruyne’s pass was connected by Haaland’s shot and shook the net. The match ended 3-1 for Manchester City.

This match was very important to the championship game. Man City rose to first place in the league with the victory that day, and shot down Arsenal to second place. Arsenal still have an advantage because they played one game less, but it is regrettable that they have not been able to widen the gap.

The odds of winning have also changed significantly. According to the data released by the American data media ‘Five Thirty Eight’, the probability of winning the EPL for both teams before the game was equal at 48%. However, after the match, Manchester City’s chance of winning has increased by 14% to 62%, while Arsenal’s is expected to drop by 14% to 34%.

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